NIGERIA MAY RECORD 31,400 HEAT-RELATED DEATHS — REPORT

Nigeria could record an estimated 31,400 additional heat-related deaths between September 2026 and February 2027, according to projections from the Climate Impact Lab.

The estimate concerns deaths above the number expected under normal temperature conditions. It is a projection, not a confirmed death toll or an inevitable outcome.

Researchers linked the increased risk to unusually high temperatures associated with a powerful El Niño event.

The study combined seasonal temperature forecasts with research examining how temperature affects death rates across more than 24,000 regions worldwide.

Nigeria accounts for nearly half of the approximately 66,800 additional deaths projected across Nigeria, Sudan, Niger and Chad during the six-month period.

The researchers said the findings could help governments identify where urgent interventions may save lives.

Recommended measures include heat-warning systems, cooling centres, access to drinking water and protections for people working outdoors.

The report also emphasised the need for longer-term preparation as climate change makes dangerous heat more common.

Its central message is that early action matters: targeted support and stronger public health preparedness could reduce the projected loss of life.